Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 103996.518233 109543.572684 115081.896370 121022.787693 127211.326923 133464.127970 140255.611246
2025-07-27 95216.002274 103739.210772 112478.438533 122097.888277 132377.602349 143022.441266 154867.243410
2025-08-03 88315.660559 98848.908765 109879.496041 122269.526705 135775.413183 150027.843041 166181.677105
2025-08-10 83135.877260 95184.989660 108028.038226 122698.614757 138953.982040 156374.771952 176416.700602
2025-08-17 78668.645236 91891.126380 106205.606678 122798.865393 141446.956261 161699.432889 185298.672690
2025-08-24 75670.250399 89975.735971 105677.370997 124115.424075 145095.219391 168144.965629 195302.222049
2025-08-31 72156.397337 87250.400923 104033.429984 123981.007985 146941.559507 172438.713016 202786.700148
2025-09-07 70078.589452 86033.639006 103982.244251 125547.539046 150626.593255 178741.849716 212508.198299
2025-09-14 67908.139342 84582.180410 103548.504423 126571.008266 153604.701902 184181.696531 221213.693999
2025-09-21 65445.885070 82666.841440 102466.460177 126738.712685 155505.418805 188319.980865 228380.309585
2025-09-28 63209.960310 80921.249808 101494.050363 126951.560866 157388.797365 192387.785488 235436.177500
2025-10-05 62140.711973 80524.974317 102077.749051 128973.652791 161384.361220 198919.678343 245396.539372
2025-10-12 60905.138209 79896.023309 102367.748503 130648.054716 164995.222045 205056.554583 254989.985860
2025-10-19 59375.548564 78847.113105 102101.727500 131613.260553 167734.519910 210160.669809 263385.841349
2025-10-26 57526.104849 77331.610672 101204.610508 131754.282808 169434.470680 213998.449093 270264.064626
2025-11-02 55940.108464 76089.524149 100593.288963 132200.692234 171471.638469 218222.525178 277607.413902
2025-11-09 54281.723722 74697.879162 99744.110665 132305.001348 173051.501497 221870.606659 284249.031811
2025-11-16 53326.172246 74171.522438 99950.112151 133703.459534 176218.619434 227453.758398 293269.395250
2025-11-23 51713.539159 72741.656868 98965.961218 133560.516763 177432.583775 230623.394021 299330.220922
2025-11-30 50997.391926 72456.610276 99419.526205 135224.885686 180906.169873 236586.225926 308859.013793
2025-12-07 50064.818631 71853.725422 99437.758020 136312.162551 183640.968471 241636.443759 317279.875686
2025-12-14 48784.502919 70749.420408 98772.578124 136490.312638 185200.141308 245212.328578 323872.805704
2025-12-21 47582.653052 69714.929814 98166.510037 136716.416121 186799.551490 248829.028303 330522.332246